Big 12 football scenarios for Arizona State, BYU, Colorado, Iowa State

Big 12 football scenarios for Arizona State, BYU, Colorado, Iowa State

The ASU football team is focusing on its game against BYU, not on Big 12 championship game scenarios and tiebreakers.

But that doesn’t mean that you can’t.

What will it take for Arizona State to make the Big 12 title game? What about the other current top contenders in the conference, Colorado, BYU and Iowa State?

Take a look at clinching scenarios for the Big 12 title game and tiebreakers with two weeks left in the regular season.

The Big 12 told The Arizona Republic that it would not comment publicly “on any possible scenarios outside of the ones that can clinch this week” but these are the tiebreaking and clinching scenarios, according to various reports.

Big 12 Conference standings

  • BYU—6-1
  • Colorado—6-1
  • Arizona State—5-2
  • Iowa State—5-2
  • Baylor—4-3
  • Kansas State—4-3
  • TCU—4-3
  • Texas Tech—4-3
  • West Virginia—4-3

Big 12 tiebreakers for 2024 season

This gets complicated. The Big 12 has a complete tiebreaker policy laid out on its site, but here’s a summary:

For ties between two teams:

  • Head-to-head record among the tied teams
  • Win percentage against all common conference opponents among the tied teams
  • Win percentage against the next placed highest common opponent in the standings (based on the record in all games played within the conference), proceeding through the standings
  • Combined win percentage in conference games of conference opponents (strength of conference schedule)
  • Total number of wins in a 12-game season
  • Highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team Rating Score metric, following regular season
  • coin toss

For ties between more than two teams:

  • The records of the three (or more) tied teams based on winning percentage among the tied teams
  • The records of the three (or more) tied teams compared based on winning percentage against common conference opponents played by all other teams involved in the tie
  • Record of the three (or more) tied teams against the next highest-placed common opponent in the standings, proceeding through the standings
  • Record of the three (or more) tied teams based on combined win percentage in conference games of conference opponents (strength of conference schedule)
  • Total number of wins in a 12-game season
  • Highest ranking by SportSource Analytics (team Rating Score metric), following regular season
  • coin toss

Big 12 championship game-clinching scenarios

There are a lot of complicated scenarios that could play out with potential 4-team ties, etc., but here are the simplest clinching scenarios entering this week’s conference games, according to various reports.

Arizona State: The Sun Devils would reportedly make the Big 12 title game with wins over BYU and Arizona unless Colorado and Iowa State also win out and BYU loses its final game to Houston.

BYU: The Cougars would make the Big 12 championship game with wins over Arizona State and Houston.

Colorado: The Buffaloes would make the conference title game with wins over Kansas and Oklahoma State.

Iowa State: The Cyclones would be in the Big 12 final with wins over Utah and Kansas State and a loss by Colorado and BYU in the final two weeks.

As for clinching scenarios on Saturday, BYU would secure a berth in the Big 12 title game with a win over Arizona State and an Iowa State loss to Utah.

Colorado would clinch with a win over Kansas and a BYU win at Arizona State, along with a Utah win over Iowa State.

When is Big 12 Conference championship game?

The 2024 Big 12 championship game is scheduled for Saturday, Dec. 7 at 10 am MST.

It will be played at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, and will feature the two Big 12 teams with the highest winning percentage in conference games.

The game will air on ABC.

The teams? We just don’t know yet.

Reach Jeremy Cluff at [email protected]. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.

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