New Mexico vs Wyoming Prediction 11-2-24 College Football Picks

New Mexico vs Wyoming Prediction 11-2-24 College Football Picks

Wyoming Cowboys (1-7) vs. New Mexico Lobos (3-5)
November 2, 2024 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: New Mexico Lobos -7.5 / Wyoming Cowboys +7.5; Over/Under: +57
(Get latest betting odds)

The Wyoming Cowboys and New Mexico Lobos meet Saturday in week 10 college football action at University Stadium. Here’s a New Mexico vs Wyoming Prediction. This article will include a New Mexico vs Wyoming Pick.

Wyoming Cowboys Betting Preview

The Wyoming Cowboys lost to Utah State and San Jose State, and they play Colorado State next. Wyoming has lost 7 of its last 8 road games. Evan Svoboda is completing 46.9 percent of his passes for 1,025 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. John Michael Gyllenborg and Tyler King have combined for 545 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Chris Durr Jr. has 18 receptions.

The Wyoming Cowboys ground game is averaging 128.1 yards per contest, and Sam Scott leads the way with 424 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Wyoming is allowing 30 points and 408.5 yards per game. Shae Suiaunoa leads the Wyoming Cowboys with 64 tackles, Braden Siders has 3.5 sacks and Wrook Brown has 2 interceptions.

New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview

The New Mexico Lobos beat Utah State, lost to Colorado State, and they play San Diego State next. New Mexico has lost 6 of its last 8 home games. Devon Dampier is completing 58.8 percent of his passes for 2,079 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. Luke Wysong and Ryan Davis have combined for 1,176 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Nic Trujillo has 15 receptions.

The New Mexico Lobos ground game is averaging 208.3 yards per contest, and Dampier leads the way with 538 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing 39.8 points and 478.4 yards per game. Christian Ellis leads the New Mexico Lobos with 71 tackles, Jayden Wilson has 2 sacks and Dimitri Johnson has 1 interception.

Why the New Mexico Lobos will win

  • Wyoming has lost each of its last 10 games as a road underdog.
  • The favorite has won each of New Mexico’s last nine games.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in each of New Mexico’s last six games.
  • Wyoming has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as a road underdog.
  • Wyoming has lost the first half in each of its last four games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Nine of New Mexico’s last 10 home games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of Wyoming’s last nine November games as a road underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • New Mexico ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (13.5).
  • New Mexico ranks 133rd among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (20.9).
  • Wyoming ranks 129th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-6.5).
  • Wyoming ranks 129th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (96.4).

New Mexico vs Wyoming Prediction

The Wyoming Cowboys have covered 12 of their last 17 games when underdogs of 7 or more points, so I did consider the free touchdown. The problem is Wyoming is awful on both sides of the ball, and it gets even tougher on the road. New Mexico doesn’t play a lick of defense, but the offense makes up for things and provides a big edge over a bad all-around team in the Cowboys. New Mexico is 3-0 ATS and SU this season as a favorite, and has won those games by an average of 10 points. I’ll roll with the Lobos.